2.15 Nottingham – 6f 15 Maiden Stakes
Following blog post is from young horse racing enthusiast Kieran Mcginley who will be bringing you his horse racing thoughts each weekend from the Value Horse Tips Blog.
Now, you may be thinking why are you previewing a Class 5 Maiden at Nottingham on a Saturday when they are some great cards on today but I play my @betref NAP in this race and honestly, its one of my strongest fancies of the month.
On social media, I have been describing a maiden that took place at Lingfield on the all-weather as the “Dream low grade maiden”, it just stood out as a phenomenal race. It was the 3rd of March at Lingfield over 6f, won by Double Up.
Now, Double Up after the race, it was said by the trainer that he would most definitely improve on the turf and would like a slight cut in the ground, so on the soft side of the good and that’s exactly what he got yesterday on his handicap debut. He finished 2nd in what was his first race in a handicap, first on turf and first for 2 months. It was a fantastic run and certainly boosted the form of that maiden.
The 2nd was Willy Brennan who after a small lay off came back for a maiden at Southwell and destroyed the field and won by 7lengths, even more so boosting this form. You can discount his run at Doncaster as that was in desperate ground and he shouldn’t have really been running and finished way down the field on his turf debut.
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The 4th in that race was BUSH WARRIOR who runs in this race today, his second start after the maiden in question.
Now if you look at that Lingfield maiden, he blew the start completely and Jamie Spencer just guided him home on his debut after he knew the race was lost. He was the eye-catcher for me. He then came out in another maiden and literally completely blew any chance of winning the race by giving the field about 15 lengths and then powered home to grab second.
That was a devastating run and one that meant wherever this horse went next; I was backing him.
He wants quick-ish ground so if the rain does fall substantially then I don’t think he will like it, but its look to be good ground. His sire is a international Group 1 winning sprinter and that breeding is pretty eye-catching in a Class 5 maiden but if he has sorted out his starting nightmares then he should win this and win it easily. Progression is sure to happen on his turf debut.
Good Luck! Kieran
Advice: Bush Warrior 7/4 (NAP)